Hope is Not a Strategy

July 2021 … even when it triumphs over experience When the tech bubble burst around the turn of the century about 58% of Americans owned some stocks, and they took a horrific beating. So, the Federal Reserve Bank lowered the Fed Funds rate by about 5.4% from December...

Elephant in the Room

November 1, 2019 Like many other large wealth managers, Morgan Stanley is expecting lower forward returns for diversified buy and hold portfolios. They recently published their forecast of a 2.8% average annual return over the next 10 years for a 60/40 stock-bond...

Tied After 27 Years

February 6, 2019 Since April of 2014 Trendhaven has been managing client accounts in a strategy that has just completed its 27th year. The tactical approach using high-yield bond funds has been very successful in achieving its absolute return investment goal. Only two...

Virtual Reality

June 27, 2018 The common wisdom of the investing world is that as you age, your risk tolerance should diminish. After all, you don’t have as much time to make up for investment losses that will come around every so often. The advisory and investment products...

Tied After 26 Years

January 9, 2018 Since April of 2014 Trendhaven has been managing client accounts in a strategy that has just completed its 26th year. The tactical approach using high-yield bond funds has been very successful in achieving its absolute return investment goal. Only one...

The Price is Right

March 8, 2017 By Michael Choniski, Trendhaven Investment Management “Your assumptions are your windows on the world. Scrub them off every once in a while, or the light won’t come in.” – Isaac Asimov Isaac Asimov Our desire for reasoned cause and effect is strong. It...

Clear, Simple and Wrong

May 9, 2015 Even though buy & hold investing using modern portfolio theory has worked well during bull markets for stocks, it can become a dangerous approach quickly. Current market conditions suggest a more active approach is well advised. Apply it to a focused...